Britain's economy contrary to expectations, despite Albraikst
The British economy is still so far, contrary to expectations, despite the selection out of the country from the European Union, but analysts warn that the sky may become cloudy in the coming months.
Gathered around the latest official statistics show that the economy is still enjoyed lively since the referendum June 23, which surprised analysts who had built their expectations on a slowing economy.
A large majority of economists and international organizations and even the Treasury and the Bank of England for fear has been announced about the implications associated with Balbrixt starting prolong the negotiations, which is not conducive to reassure business circles.
Laith Khalaf, an analyst at "Harjivez Lansdown," "So far, Albraikst did not affect the official economic indicators (...) is still too early, but it is clear that there is no decline in confidence among consumers and businesses."
The British economy is in a good position, like retail, which issued its figures Thursday and rebounded significantly by 1.4% in July sales, which more than analysts had expected, which means that consumers did not change their habits.
Also, stores can rely on tourists who spend increasing purchasing power thanks to the weakness of the pound.
For his part, Howard Archer, an economist at the company, "IHS" is expected to continue this trend in August thanks to the good weather and the "impact of the excellent performance of the British team in the Olympics."
And send other numbers in July, the first full month since the referendum, reassuring, and including low unemployment rates, and a slight acceleration in inflation, or the stability of the new car sales.
In turn, "Kingfisher," said the giant company to sell repair and home improvement tools Thursday that the referendum does not have a "clear impact on demand" in its stores chain.
Said Daniel Vernazza, an economist at UniCredit Bank said "unemployment in a record low and consumer confidence remains high, and most of those who voted with the exit from the European Union did not think that the outcome will fall upon the economy. Thus, it is not expected to reduce their spending in the short term. "
Optimism prevails and also investors, with the acceleration of the main London Stock Exchange indices significantly since the beginning of August, mainly driven by the new measures unveiled by the Bank of England (BoE).
Less brighter future
But a number of analysts maintain their pessimism for the coming months, and warn that the British economy may be in the last days of prosperity.
The results of the latest opinion polls about the morale of companies and consumers suggest far less than reassuring, compared with the official figures.
And prevail major concerns among analysts that infect exit from Europe companies paralyzed movement whereupon cut its investments and Clavha and jobs in the end.
Archer explains, "will be the purchasing power of consumers less while accelerating inflation, with a margin for a limited increase in corporate profits due to cost control. In addition, it seems that unemployment will increase in the coming months. "
Similarly, employers are expected in Britain less brighter future.
Says Anna Leach economic employers in British organization "The recent drop in the pound exchange rate will increase the cost of living next year, what will affect the ability of households to spend."
Thus, it calls on the government to "develop a program and a timetable and clear for negotiations with the European Union" in order to "dispel doubts and maintain the confidence of businesses and consumers."
In fact, the Sunday Times newspaper reported that the Conservatives, led by Theresa May the government does not want to get out of the EU before the end of 2019.
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